獨立學生研究站Independent student research station

海上不會照著計畫走The sea doesn't follow the plan

小船偏了、安靜了、靠岸了——別急著下結論。像海上偵探一樣，先把線索分成三格。The boat drifts off, goes quiet, reaches a shore — don't jump to conclusions. Like a sea detective, sort every clue into three boxes first.

  • 看到的證據What we saw
  • 可能的解釋What might explain it
  • 還缺的資料What's still missing
概念示意海圖：計畫航線、示意點位與風向 / Concept sketch: planned route, sketch positions and wind N 計畫航線 planned route 強北風（示意） strong north wind (sketch) ? 放流點 launch 概念示意・非實測・非預報Concept sketch · not measured · not a forecast 1強風改了航線Wind bends the route 2沒有新消息No new messages 3靠岸或受傷Shore or damage

開關圖層比一比，再點紅色浮標 1、2、3，翻開三個海上事件。Toggle the layers to compare, then tap red buoys 1, 2, 3 to open three sea mysteries.

遇到異常，先分清楚：
看到了什麼、可能是什麼、還缺什麼。When something odd happens, sort it first:
what we saw, what it might be, what's missing.

這裡沒有唯一的標準答案。好的推論，會把「還不知道」誠實地寫下來。There's no single right answer here. A good inference writes down "we don't know yet" honestly.

海上事件 1／3Sea mystery 1 of 3

一陣強風，改了航線A strong wind bends the route

  1. 線索 1・看到的證據CLUE 1 · WHAT WE SAW

    連續的定位點沒有沿著計畫線往外走，而是慢慢轉了彎。The string of positions didn't follow the planned line — it slowly curved away.

  2. 線索 2・可能的解釋CLUE 2 · WHAT MIGHT EXPLAIN IT

    同一段時間吹著強風，海流也在推。要知道誰的影響大，得把同時段的風、流資料拿來和點位對照。A strong wind blew while currents pushed too. To see which mattered more, compare the positions with wind and current data from the same hours.

  3. 線索 3・還缺的資料CLUE 3 · WHAT'S MISSING

    兩點之間算出的速度，是風、浪、流、船身一起造成的「對地移動」——航速不等於海流速度。Speed worked out between two points is movement over ground — wind, waves, current and hull all together. Boat speed is not current speed.

概念示意・非實測——箭頭長短只是比喻Concept sketch · not measured — arrow lengths are only a metaphor

海流current ⋯ 風推力⋯ wind push — 合起來的移動— combined move

風開始推，合起來的移動偏離了海流方向。The wind starts pushing; the combined move drifts away from the current.

海流箭頭從頭到尾沒變。只看紅色那條，就說「海流往回流」，會猜錯。The current arrow never changes. Reading only the red line as "the current flowed back" would be a wrong guess.

歷史照片ARCHIVETaiwan #1 在新店的歷史修復／準備階段：學生說明補土、硬化劑與 AB 膠（環氧樹脂）。不是本次航程的船或現場。Taiwan #1 during an earlier repair and preparation stage in Xindian: a student explains filler, hardener and epoxy. Not this voyage's boat or scene. 來源：Source: Earth LinC archive image
真實案例・Taiwan #1REAL CASE · TAIWAN #1

北風把它推了回來Pushed back by the north wind

2018 年首航，強勁北風把小船推回台灣海峽，途中曾兩天沒收到訊息。回收後經過檢查，才確認龍骨破損；團隊修好它，再次放流。On its 2018 first voyage, strong north winds pushed Taiwan #1 back into the Taiwan Strait, and no messages arrived for two days. Only an inspection after recovery confirmed a broken keel. The team repaired it and launched again.

試試看：把上面的風推力拉到最大，看合起來的移動怎麼往回彎。點位偏了，不一定是海流換了方向。Try it: slide the wind push to max and watch the combined move curl back. A bent track doesn't prove the current changed direction.

注意：龍骨破損是「回收後檢查」才知道的——在海上時，只看點位無法確認。Note: the keel damage was known only after inspection on land — positions alone at sea could not confirm it.

閱讀 Taiwan #1 案例頁（英文）Read the Taiwan #1 case page

海上事件 2／3Sea mystery 2 of 3

沒有新消息，只代表沒收到No news only means nothing arrived

  1. 線索 1・看到的證據CLUE 1 · WHAT WE SAW

    某一天之後，再也沒有收到新的位置。After a certain day, no new position came in.

  2. 線索 2・可能的解釋CLUE 2 · WHAT MIGHT EXPLAIN IT

    電量低、通訊不穩、天線受損、設備損壞……都可能。右邊每一張都點開看看。Low battery, patchy signal, a damaged antenna, broken equipment — all possible. Open each card on the right.

  3. 線索 3・還缺的資料CLUE 3 · WHAT'S MISSING

    沒有遙測紀錄（例如電壓、訊號狀態），就不能確定是哪一個。也不能因此判斷它沉了。Without telemetry (like voltage or signal logs), we can't tell which. And it is no reason to decide it sank.

可能的原因・點開看「要什麼資料才能分辨」Possible causes · open to see what data would tell them apart

電量低Low battery

陰天多、日照少，太陽能可能充不飽。要分辨：最後幾次回報的電壓紀錄。Cloudy days may leave solar charging short. To check: voltage in the last few reports.

通訊不穩Patchy communication

浪大、船身傾斜時，訊號可能送不出去。要分辨：之前是否也常斷斷續續。In big waves or when tilted, signals may fail to get out. To check: was it patchy before, too?

天線受損Damaged antenna

碰撞或長期日曬都可能。要分辨：通常要等找回後實際檢查。Knocks or long sun exposure could do it. To check: usually only by inspecting it after recovery.

設備進水或損壞Water in the electronics, or breakage

密封失效就可能發生。要分辨：同樣需要回收後打開檢查。Possible if a seal fails. To check: again, opening it up after recovery.

有些原因，只有把船找回來、親手檢查，才會知道。Some causes can only be known by getting the boat back and checking by hand.

真實案例・Rye RiptidesREAL CASE · RYE RIPTIDES

安靜了四個月，再出聲時在挪威Silent four months, then a signal from Norway

2021 年 9 月 30 日後，約四個月沒有新定位。2022 年 1 月 30 日，它再次回報位置——在挪威。2 月 1 日當地家庭找到小船，2 月 2 日帶到學校。中間為何沉默，我們不替它下結論。After 30 Sep 2021, no new position came for about four months. On 30 Jan 2022 it reported again — from Norway. A local family found it on 1 Feb; on 2 Feb it was brought to a school. Why it went quiet, we won't guess.

試試看：點時間軸每一格，分清楚哪個是「回報」、哪個是「找到」、哪個是「帶到學校」。Try it: tap each box on the timeline and tell "reported", "found" and "brought to school" apart.

「回報位置」、「被找到」、「上岸」是三件不同的事，時間也不一定相同。"Reported a position", "was found" and "came ashore" are three different things — not necessarily on the same day.

閱讀 Rye Riptides 案例頁（英文）Read the Rye Riptides case page · 原參與機構 SEA 的報導Report by participating institution SEA

海上事件 3／3Sea mystery 3 of 3

靠近岸邊，或者船受傷了Close to shore, or the boat got hurt

  1. 線索 1・看到的證據CLUE 1 · WHAT WE SAW

    最新的一個點，落在陸地旁邊。The newest point sits right next to land.

  2. 線索 2・可能的解釋CLUE 2 · WHAT MIGHT EXPLAIN IT

    可能擱淺了；也可能只是漂經岸邊，或定位有誤差。一個點，不會自動等於「上岸」。It may be aground — or just drifting past, or the fix may be off. One point doesn't automatically mean "ashore".

  3. 線索 3・還缺的資料CLUE 3 · WHAT'S MISSING

    連續好幾個點停在同處嗎？有照片嗎？當地有沒有人看見並回報？Do several points in a row stay put? Any photos? Did anyone local see it and report?

推論小工具・不打分、不給機率Reasoning tool · no scores, no probabilities

你手上有哪些證據？Which evidence do you have?

只有一個靠岸的點：可能擱淺、可能漂過、也可能是定位誤差。先別下結論。Just one point near shore: maybe aground, maybe passing by, maybe a position error. Hold the conclusion.

國外歷史照片ARCHIVE · NORWAY2022 年 2 月 2 日，挪威一所學校查看剛找回的 Rye Riptides；船身磨損與附著生物是真實的找回狀態。不是台灣，也不是本次現場。2 Feb 2022: a school in Norway examines the newly recovered Rye Riptides; the wear and attached growth are its real state on recovery. Not Taiwan, not this voyage. 來源：Source: Educational Passages · image file
真實案例・找回之後REAL CASES · AFTER RECOVERY

船回到手上，才看得清楚Only in your hands can you see clearly

試試看：放大照片，找找船身上的磨損和附著生物。哪些是照片就看得出來的？哪些要量過、拆開檢查才知道？Try it: enlarge the photo and look for wear and growth on the hull. What can a photo show? What needs measuring or opening up?

下面是「可能」的影響，不是每一項都發生在這兩艘船上，這裡也不給機率。Below are possible effects — not all happened to these two boats, and no odds are given.

波浪Waves

大浪會讓船翻滾、拍打，也會在岸邊把船推上沙灘或礁石。Big waves roll and slam a boat, and near shore can push it onto sand or rock.

風與流Wind and current

風推船身與帆，流帶著整片水移動；兩者方向不同時，船會走出意料外的路。Wind pushes hull and sail; current moves the whole water. When they disagree, the boat takes an unexpected path.

船體、桅杆、龍骨損壞Hull, mast or keel damage

龍骨幫船保持方向與平衡；受損後，船可能更容易被風帶著走。Taiwan #1 的龍骨破損，是回收檢查才確認的。The keel keeps a boat steady and on course; damaged, it may be blown about more. Taiwan #1's broken keel was confirmed only by inspection after recovery.

附著生物Attached sea life

藤壺、藻類長在船底，會增加重量和阻力，也是小船在海上待了多久的線索之一。Barnacles and algae add weight and drag — and are one clue to how long a boat has been at sea.

如果你在岸邊發現小船：請老師或計畫團隊聯絡當地合適的人。不要自己下水，也不要獨自去冒險取回。If you find a miniboat on a shore: ask a teacher or the project team to contact the right local people. Don't go into the water or retrieve it alone.

證據桌The evidence desk

你會把這張卡片放在哪一格？Which box would you put each card in?

選「已知」、「可能」或「未確認」。沒有分數——選完後，看看另一種有道理的想法。Choose "known", "possible" or "unconfirmed". No score — after you choose, read another reasonable view.

偵探筆記本Detective's notebook

我下一步要核對的資料What I'll check next

寫下你想再查的東西。筆記只存在這台裝置的瀏覽器裡——沒有上傳，也沒有連接任何 AI。可以下載成文字檔帶走。Write down what you want to look up. Notes stay only in this device's browser — nothing is uploaded and no AI is connected. Download them as a text file to keep.

回到岸上之後Back on shore

修好它、再放出去，也是研究的一部分。Fixing it and sending it out again is part of the research too.

龍骨斷了，就學怎麼檢查、怎麼補；小船停在遠方的岸邊，就寫信給那裡的學生，問他們看見了什麼。航程沒照計畫走，不需要被改寫成成功故事——它本身，就是一份誠實的資料。A broken keel teaches how to inspect and repair. A boat resting on a far shore is a reason to write to students there and ask what they saw. A voyage that went off-plan doesn't need to be rewritten as a success story — it is honest data in itself.

← 返回主旅程：小船把海帶回來← Back to the main journey 認識小船：一艘小帆船怎麼認識大海Meet the miniboat

放流由專業團隊依實際海況安排；本頁所有圖示皆為概念示意，不是航行安全決策工具。Launches are planned by professional teams for real sea conditions; all graphics here are concept sketches, not a navigation-safety tool.

資料來源Sources

查核日期 2026-10-11・本頁摘要為原創改寫Checked 2026-10-11 · summaries written in our own words